THIS CONTENT WAS ORIGINALLY PUBLISHED ON MY OLD SITE AND FORMS PART OF THIS SITE’S ARCHIVE
Latest Poll from Progress Scotland/Survation ommits one key question, see table in picture for the detailed breakdown (I am waiting for the official table from Survation, to verify the one below)
Anyway the analysis (by moi, based on this dubiously sourced table, but several unofficial sources indicate it’s accuracy)*
Polling conducted by the Progress Scotland/Survation shows that support for an independent Scotland (0) and against an independent Scotland (10) with numbers representing how much you support the two extremes, suggests that Indie Ref is not wanted…
0 – 24%
1 – 2%
2 – 3%
3 – 3%
4 – 3%
5 – 5%
6 – 3%
7 – 4%
8 – 6%
9 – 5%
10 – 40%
Don’t Know – 3%
Oddly the scale technically has 12 options, only 11 of which measure strength, if 5 is the midpoint, everything below 5 is in favour; everything above is against, and 5 represents the truly undecided. Now of course these (likert) scales are arguably not very accurate**, but all polling uses them.
This suggests that 35% support independence, whilst 57% are against and 5% are undecided or nueteral on the issue, with 3% don’t knows. This suggests (to me) that the Scottish public support independence less because of Brexit (if that’s a mess, how much more would Scotix be?).
That’s one interpretation, but until then full poll data is released its difficult to know.
*The results have been verified as genuine, read about it in the Herald.
**Likert Scales:
“A Likert-type scale assumes that the strength/intensity of experience is linear, i.e. on a continuum from strongly agree to strongly disagree, and makes the assumption that attitudes can be measured.”
https://www.simplypsychology.org/likert-scale.html
And
“Likert Scales have the advantage that they do not expect a simple yes / no answer from the respondent, but rather allow for degrees of opinion, and even no opinion at all. Therefore quantitative data is obtained, which means that the data can be analyzed with relative ease.
https://www.simplypsychology.org/likert-scale.html
And
However, like all surveys, the validity of Likert Scale attitude measurement can be compromised due social desirability. This means that individuals may lie to put themselves in a positive light. For example, if a likert scale was measuring discrimination, who would admit to being racist?”
https://www.simplypsychology.org/likert-scale.html
Technically this isn’t a Likert Scale because it has 11 rather than 7 options in the scale.